Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.009829 0.011105 0.012506 0.014163 0.016075 0.018216 0.020805
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007742 0.009440 0.011474 0.014108 0.017452 0.021585 0.027132
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006362 0.008142 0.010396 0.013491 0.017677 0.023211 0.031191
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005588 0.007437 0.009887 0.013419 0.018458 0.025506 0.036326
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005237 0.007219 0.009955 0.014078 0.020256 0.029368 0.044209
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004614 0.006539 0.009284 0.013569 0.020249 0.030540 0.048143
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004141 0.006016 0.008770 0.013209 0.020388 0.031898 0.052512
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003834 0.005705 0.008528 0.013225 0.021093 0.034216 0.058813
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003701 0.005640 0.008652 0.013823 0.022807 0.038418 0.069113
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003434 0.005339 0.008366 0.013706 0.023273 0.040486 0.075754
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003245 0.005143 0.008231 0.013823 0.024153 0.043399 0.084513
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003018 0.004865 0.007932 0.013616 0.024405 0.045143 0.091143
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002886 0.004743 0.007900 0.013909 0.025683 0.049156 0.103597
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002712 0.004536 0.007704 0.013882 0.026344 0.052049 0.114209
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002470 0.004191 0.007230 0.013274 0.025758 0.052232 0.118494
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002329 0.004013 0.007042 0.013204 0.026269 0.054855 0.129258
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002294 0.004025 0.007208 0.013851 0.028384 0.061389 0.151438
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002119 0.003763 0.006832 0.013351 0.027918 0.061857 0.157529
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001977 0.003554 0.006541 0.012998 0.027741 0.062993 0.165738
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001888 0.003440 0.006428 0.013013 0.028415 0.066329 0.181088
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001866 0.003454 0.006570 0.013600 0.030519 0.073649 0.210330
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001774 0.003322 0.006406 0.013485 0.030896 0.076486 0.226173
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001710 0.003244 0.006346 0.013600 0.031863 0.081087 0.249072